Another one of the popular betting strategies often employed in casinos is the D’Alembert Staking Plan, named after a French mathematician born in 1717. D’Alembert essentially believed in his own Law of Equilibrium which states that an individual can expect to have a higher chance of winning after a loss than at any other time. He believed that his betting strategy was a winning plan in the long term.
How To Use
Despite the unquestioned genius of its creator, the D’Alembert Staking Plan is actually pretty easy to use. It is usually considered to be a Pyramid System which involves betting in units. Dividing the amount of money you have available to bet into units is considered wise gambling practice. For example, if you have £1,000 available, you may decide to have 100 units worth £10 each. The D’Alembert Staking Plan is theoretically ideal for this type of money management.
With this betting strategy, you increase your previous bet by one unit when you lose and lower it by one unit when you win (unless of course you bet one unit and it wins, in which case you bet one unit on the next event). As an example:
- If you bet £10 and lose, your next bet is £20. If you win, you bet £10 in the next round.
- If you bet £20 and lose, your next bet is £30. If you win, you decrease the stakes to £10 for the next bet.
- If you bet £30 and lose, your next bet is £40. If you win, you decrease the stakes to £20 and so on.
As previously mentioned, the D’Alembert Staking Plan was originally designed for the roulette wheel. Its main goal is to allow the punter to have more wins than losses (one more to be exact) during a cycle. For example, if you are betting on a roulette wheel, one cycle would conclude when you have more winning bets than losing ones. An example of this would be when you win 11 of 21 spins. At this point, you walk away with a guaranteed profit. If you were to win 2 of 3 spins, that would also be the end of a cycle.
For some punters, the D’Alembert Staking Plan is seen as the antidote to the risky Martingale System. Unlike Martingale, the D’Alembert Staking Plan does not involve rapid increases in your stake. With D’Alembert, your £10 stake becomes £70 after six consecutive losses. With Martingale, it would become £640. The D’Alembert system also enables you to cut a cycle short at any time if you’re in profit. Because of the slower rises in your stake, you’re unlikely to become bankrupt in a hurry during a bad run of luck.
For all its theoretical promise, the D’Alembert Staking Plan is not really a viable plan for sporting events. Horseracing for example rarely offers value at Even money. You may take an Even money horse with a bookmakers but in reality, your chances of winning are even less than the slightly over 47% chance you have of winning on a single spin of a roulette wheel.
Like the Martingale System, the D’Alembert Staking Plan still requires its users to have a theoretically unlimited supply of funds. Even when used for its original purpose, the roulette wheel, this staking plan makes the same mistake as the Martingale System. It views a run of results as a single event rather than the reality which is that each spin is independent of the next. If you lose five in a row, your odds of winning on the next spin stay the same as for the first spin. This means long losing streaks are common during lengthy roulette wheel sessions. Also, the D’Alembert Staking Plan is an extremely long-term betting strategy which means it is simply not applicable to Casino play.
- Why The Martingale System Simply Doesn’t Work
- Keeping Your Money In The Bank
- Successful Staking
- Understanding the Kelly Criterion
- Matched Betting Explained